Will a Temporary Loss of Income Impact Your Mortgage Post-COVID-19?
Lisa Manwaring • September 29, 2020
While unemployment peaked over 13% at the onset, it's hard to quantify just how many Canadians had some form of a reduction in their income over the last year. Especially if you're self-employed or your income varies year to year because you receive a bonus, pick up shifts, freelance, or you earn income that isn't guaranteed.
If you earn variable income, and you've seen a reduction in income because of the pandemic, this has the potential to impact how much mortgage you qualify for up to the next three years.
Here's why. For income that isn't guaranteed, when assessing your mortgage application, most of the time, lenders will look at a 2-year average. So let's say you're looking to secure a mortgage now in 2020, the lender will want to see documentation proving what you earned in 2018 and 2019, and they will take a 2-year average.
If your income is lower in 2020 because of the pandemic, once we come to tax time in 2021, your 2-year average will now include that reduction in revenue for the next couple of years, even if you are back to making what you did pre-pandemic. It will be the same case in 2022 (and into 2023), as any lender will want to see your 2-year average between 2020 and 2021. Less income in 2020 could mean qualifying for a lower mortgage amount over the next few years.
The advantage of working with an independent mortgage professional is the ability we have to represent you to several lenders who all offer different products and have different guidelines. So while one lender might be hard and fast on the 2-year average, depending on your industry, another lender might make an exception.
Additionally, depending on where the housing market is at and how much the economy has rebounded in 2021, lenders might consider COVID-19 and be flexible or implement amended guidelines. However, we will have to wait and see on that. But for the most part, if your income is lower because of COVID, it will impact you going forward, feel free to get in touch if you have any questions or hear anything in the news that you'd like clarified.
So what can you do about this today? Well, if you're currently looking to purchase a property or you have a mortgage that's almost up for renewal, or if you'd like to refinance before 2021, it's definitely in your best interest to talk with an independent mortgage professional about all your options as soon as possible.
Alternatively, if you're not looking to secure a mortgage right now, it's always a good idea to have a plan in place for when you do. It never hurts to plan ahead, especially when you have time and can make up some of the lost income with additional income in the future.
If you'd like to discuss your financial situation and see exactly how your income impacts your mortgage qualification, please don't hesitate to contact me anytime, I would love to work through everything with you!
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One of the major qualifiers lenders look at when considering your application for mortgage financing is your debt service ratios. Now, before we get started, if you prefer to have someone walk through these calculations with you, assess your financial situation, and let you know exactly where you stand, let’s connect. There is no use in dusting off the calculator and running the numbers yourself when we can do it for you! However, if you’re someone who likes to know the nitty-gritty of how things work instead of simply accepting that's just the way it is, this article is for you. But be warned, there are a lot of mortgage words and some math ahead; with that out of the way, let’s get started! “Debt servicing” is the measure of your ability to meet all of your financial obligations. There are two ratios that lenders examine to determine whether you can debt service a mortgage. The first is called the “gross debt service” ratio, or GDS, which is the percentage of your monthly household income that covers your housing costs. The second is called the “total debt service” ratio, or TDS, which is the percentage of your monthly household income covering your housing costs and all your other debts. GDS is your income compared to the cost of financing the mortgage, including your proposed mortgage payments (principal and interest), property taxes, and heat (PITH), plus a percentage of your condo fees (if applicable). Here’s how to calculate your GDS. Principal + Interest + Taxes + Heat / Gross Annual Income Your TDS is your income compared to your GDS plus the payments made to service any existing debts. Debts include car loans, line of credit, credit card payments, support payments, student loans, and anywhere else you’re contractually obligated to make payments. Here’s how to calculate your TDS. Principal + Interest + Taxes + Heat + Other Debts / Gross Annual Income With the calculations for those ratios in place, the next step is to understand that each lender has guidelines that outline a maximum GDS/TDS. Exceeding these guidelines will result in your mortgage application being declined, so the lower your GDS/TDS, the better. If you don’t have any outstanding debts, your GDS and TDS will be the same number. This is a good thing! The maximum ratios vary for conventional mortgage financing based on the lender and mortgage product being offered. However, if your mortgage is high ratio and mortgage default insurance is required, the maximum GDS is 39% with a maximum TDS of 44%. So how does this play out in real life? Well, let’s say you’re currently looking to purchase a property with a payment of $1700/mth (PITH), and your total annual household income is $90,000 ($7500/mth). The calculations would be $1700 divided by $7500, which equals 0.227, giving you a gross debt service ratio of 22.7%. A point of clarity here. When calculating the principal and interest portion of the payment, the Government of Canada has instituted a stress test. It requires you to qualify using the government's qualifying rate (which is higher), not the actual contract rate. This is true for both fixed and variable rate mortgages. Now let’s continue with the scenario. Let’s say that in addition to the payments required to service the property, you have a car payment of $300/mth, child support payments of $500/mth, and between your credit cards and line of credit, you’re responsible for another $700/mth. In total, you pay $1500/mth. So when you add in the $1700/mth PITH, you arrive at a total of $3200/mth for all of your financial obligations. $3200 divided by $7500 equals 0.427, giving you a total debt service ratio of 42.7%. Here’s where it gets interesting. Based on your GDS alone, you can easily afford the property. But when you factor in all your other expenses, the TDS exceeds the allowable limit of 42% (for an insured mortgage anyway). So why does this matter? Well, as it stands, you wouldn’t qualify for the mortgage, even though you are likely paying more than $1700/mth in rent. So then, to qualify, it might be as simple as shuffling some of your debt to lower payments. Or maybe you have 10% of the purchase price saved for a downpayment, changing the mortgage structure to 5% down and using the additional 5% to pay out a portion of your debt might be the difference you need to bring it all together. Here’s the thing, as your actual financial situation is most likely different than the one above, working with an independent mortgage professional is the best way to give yourself options. Don’t do this alone. Your best plan is to seek and rely on the advice provided by an experienced independent mortgage professional. While you might secure a handful of mortgages over your lifetime, we do this every day with people just like you. It’s never too early to start the conversation about mortgage qualification. Going over your application and assessing your debt service ratios in detail beforehand gives you the time needed to make the financial moves necessary to put yourself in the best financial position. So if you find yourself questioning what you can afford or if you want to discuss your GDS/TDS ratios to understand the mortgage process a little better, please get in touch. It would be a pleasure to work with you, we can get a preapproval started right away.
